VC
Vontier Corp (VNT)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Beat and raise quarter: Q2 revenue $773.5M (+11.1% YoY) and adjusted EPS $0.79 both exceeded guidance; adjusted operating margin expanded 80 bps YoY to 21.1%. Strength in Mobility Technologies (+17.9% sales) and Environmental & Fueling Solutions (+16.2%) offset flat Repair Solutions; management raised FY25 adjusted EPS to $3.10–$3.20 and FCF conversion to ~100% .
- Estimate beats: vs S&P Global consensus, Q2 revenue beat by
$39M (+5.3%) and adjusted EPS beat by$0.07 (+9.5%); Q3 guidance (rev $745–$755M, adj EPS $0.74–$0.78) brackets Street near the midpoint, implying flat core sales and flattish YoY margins in Q3 . Q2 consensus revenue $734.5M* and EPS $0.7213*; Q3 consensus revenue $747.9M* and EPS $0.7688*. - Mix and timing: $15–$20M shipment pull-forward from ERP go-live and a planned factory maintenance outage aided Q2; management noted tariff cost headwinds but maintained positive price/cost and ongoing mitigation actions .
- Capital allocation and leverage: $50M buybacks in Q2 (~1.4M shares), $105M YTD; net leverage 2.5x with LTM adjusted EBITDA ~$704.6M, supporting flexibility to pursue bolt-ons and repurchases .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Mobility Technologies and E&FS outperformed: Mobility Tech sales +17.9% YoY with 180 bps margin expansion; E&FS sales +16.2% with 50 bps margin expansion, driven by dispenser and environmental solutions strength .
- Strong product adoption and recurring revenue: “Over 50% of new dispensers leaving the factory with a FlexPay 6 unit,” NFX surpassed 1B transactions; recurring revenue ~40% in Mobility Tech (Invenco ~35%, Driivz largely recurring) and low-30s at Vontier overall .
- Cash generation and balance sheet: Adjusted FCF $88.5M in Q2 (76% conversion), net leverage 2.5x; raised FY FCF conversion target to ~100% .
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What Went Wrong
- Repair Solutions flat with margin pressure: Sales were flat YoY; segment margin -50 bps YoY to 20.8% on unfavorable mix and lower high-ticket demand, despite Expo offset .
- Car wash softness (ERV/DRB): Lower demand as anticipated; industry project timing delays and mix weighed on Mobility Tech early in the year (notably in Q1), though software conversion improved modestly .
- Shipment pull-forward clouds run-rate: ~$15–$20M revenue pull-in (MT $5–$7M) stemming from ERP go-live and a planned outage; implies a modest Q3 headwind as timing normalizes .
Financial Results
- Consolidated performance vs prior periods
- Segment breakdown (Q2 2025 vs Q2 2024)
(a) Includes intersegment sales of $19.1M in Q2’25 and $3.2M in Q2’24 .
- KPIs and cash/returns
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO on execution and strategy: “We delivered strong second quarter results… leveraging the Vontier Business System and 80/20 principles… We are advancing our strategic priorities to drive operational efficiency and accelerate topline growth” .
- CEO on innovation flywheel: “Over 50% of new dispensers leaving the factory with a FlexPay 6 unit… Invenco’s recurring revenue… up 17% YoY… recently surpassed 1 billion transactions on our NFX payment servers” .
- CFO on timing and beats: “Sales outperformance benefited by approximately $15–$20 million related to favorable shipment timings… Adjusted EPS increased 25% to $0.79 above the high end of our guidance range” .
- CFO on FY guidance raise and FCF: “We now expect adjusted earnings per share of $3.15 at the midpoint… we are raising our free cash flow conversion target to approximately 100%” .
Q&A Highlights
- Repair stabilization and margin path: Margins “perhaps stabilized”; upside requires recovery in higher-priced items and improved credit metrics; Pillar One cost actions continue .
- Shipment timing details: ~$15–$20M combined pull-in (MT ~$5–$7M) due to ERP go-live and planned maintenance; temp benefit to Q2 .
- Recurring revenue mix: Mobility Tech ~40% recurring (DRB ~60%, Invenco ~35%); Vontier low 30s recurring including spares .
- Policy tailwinds: “Big Beautiful Bill” boosts near-term FCF via R&D expensing; customers benefit from accelerated depreciation, likely 2026 impact given project timing .
- Orders and book-to-bill: Orders +8% organically; book-to-bill ~1 in Q2 .
Estimates Context
- Q2 2025 vs S&P Global consensus: Revenue $773.5M vs $734.5M*; Adjusted EPS $0.79 vs $0.7213*; EBITDA $176.1M vs $171.8M* — broad-based beat. Actuals from 8‑K; consensus from S&P Global .
- Q3 2025 setup: Guide revenue $745–$755M (midpoint ~$750M) vs Street $747.9M*; guide adj EPS $0.74–$0.78 (midpoint $0.76) vs Street $0.7688* — revenue roughly in line/slightly above; EPS in range near consensus .
- FY 2025: Company adj EPS $3.10–$3.20 (midpoint $3.15) vs Street $3.184*; sales $3.02–$3.07B (midpoint $3.045B) vs Street $3.032B* — EPS near-aligned; revenue a touch higher .
Values retrieved from S&P Global for all fields marked with *.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Strong “beat and raise”: Outperformance in Mobility Tech and E&FS more than offset Repair, with Q2 beats on sales and EPS and FY EPS/FCF guidance raised — supportive for estimate revisions and near-term sentiment .
- Quality of beat mixed by timing: ~$15–$20M shipment pull-forward aided Q2; Q3 guide embeds flat core growth and flattish-to-down YoY margins, tempering sequential momentum .
- Secular/product flywheel intact: FlexPay 6 and NFX adoption, ATG modernization, and Mobility Tech’s ~40% recurring base support multi-year growth and margin mix tailwinds .
- Tariff risk manageable: Company remains price/cost positive with supply chain diversification underway; expect full mitigation within the year, limiting downside to margins .
- Capital returns and balance sheet: 2.5x net leverage, ~$705M LTM adj EBITDA, and robust FCF enable continued buybacks (over $700M since spin) and selective M&A — a supportive medium-term capital allocation backdrop .
- Watch Repair/DRB trajectories: Early signs of stabilization in DRB and normalization in Matco inventories could set up 2026 improvement; near-term, Repair guided down mid-to-high single digits for 2H .
- Stock drivers: Continued software/recurring revenue traction (Invenco/Driivz/Patheon), execution on ATG upgrades and dispenser demand, and tariff mitigation progress likely to drive multiple and earnings trajectory .
Supporting Detail
Q2 vs Consensus and Guidance Snapshot
Notable product/press highlights (Q2 context)
- Matco Tools launched enhanced “6s” toolbox platform (built in Jamestown, NY), supporting premium storage category .
- Driivz partnership with Greenspot to manage thousands of EV chargers, showcasing energy management and uptime capabilities .
- Teletrac Navman unveiled Multi IQ AI-powered multi-cam safety system integrated with TN360 .
Citations:
Q2 2025 8-K and exhibit: . Q2 2025 press release mirror: –. Q2 2025 call: –. Q1 2025 8-K and call: –, –. Q4 2024 8-K and call: –, –. Dividend: . Product/partnership releases: .